Know the odds before you buy the challenge.
Most prop-challenge attempts fail. Propability puts your own trading stats against your firm's actual rules and shows you the full distribution of outcomes — before the evaluation fee leaves your pocket.
Free account. The math is fully disclosed — descriptive probabilities, never advice.
The fee buys one draw. We show you the deck.
If your pass probability under a firm's rules is 10%, the expected cost of getting funded isn't one fee — it's ten. That arithmetic is invisible on every pricing page in the industry. Making it visible, for your exact statistics, is what Propability is for.
Three steps, no black box
- Your statistics. Win rate, average win and loss, risk per trade, trades per day — five numbers you already know.
- The firm's exact rules. Dated presets encoding targets, drawdown mechanics, daily limits, consistency, and time rules.
- 10,000 simulated attempts. The full distribution: pass probability, which rule ends attempts and when, and how it all shifts with sizing.
Read the complete methodology — it fits on one page.
See the whole distribution
Not one guess — 10,000 simulated attempts of your stats against the firm's exact rules, with pass, fail, and timing laid out honestly.
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The firm's real rules, dated
Daily loss, static and trailing drawdowns, consistency, minimum days — encoded per program, stamped with an as-of date, never changed silently.
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Results worth sharing
Every simulation exports a clean card with server-verified numbers — the screenshot you'd post anyway, unfurling beautifully on Discord and X.
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Built for the decision, not the dopamine
Whether it's your first evaluation or your fifth, the useful moment is the ten minutes before you pay: compare the rulebooks, look at worked examples, run your own numbers, and buy — or don't — knowing the distribution you're stepping into.
Next: your real trades, live against the rules
The full tracker imports your trading history, watches your distance to every rule in your program, and re-computes survival odds as you go. Join the waitlist and tell us which firm you trade — it decides what we build first.