No. Propability is an educational analytics tool. Every number is a descriptive probability of a scenario you defined with your own inputs — the engine never recommends a trade, a risk size, or a firm.
A standard Monte Carlo simulation, fully described on the how-it-works page. Your win rate, average win/loss, risk, and trade frequency drive thousands of independent simulated challenge attempts, each checked against the firm's rules trade by trade. Nothing is proprietary or hidden.
The simulation is exactly as good as your inputs. If your entered win rate is optimistic, the odds will be too. The methodology page lists every assumption — trading every day, no overnight holds, stable statistics — so you can judge how well it maps to your reality.
Every preset carries the date its rules were last checked, and unverified presets are clearly flagged. Firms change rules often; always confirm current rules with the firm before purchasing an evaluation.
The simulator, firm rule library, and share cards live in the free member dashboard. An account keeps your scenarios and share history in one place and lets us open Pro features later without disturbing anything you've built.
The core simulator is free. A Pro tier (multi-firm comparison, saved scenarios, rule-change notifications, CSV export) is planned at $12/month — see pricing.
Some firm links are disclosed affiliate links: if you sign up through one, we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Firm listings and simulation results are never ordered or altered by commission — listings follow the statistics you enter.
No. Propability holds no brokerage connections, executes nothing, and never touches funds. Today it simulates parameters you type in; the planned tracker will import trade history files you choose to upload.